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Learning From the Past and Planning for the Future: Experience-Driven Insight Into Managing for Ecosystem Transformations Induced by Drought and Wildfire

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Smoke from fire on mountain

Fire in Boulder, Colorado. Credit: Brian Ebel (USGS)

Project Information

Principal Investigator(s):

  • Seth Munson (USGS Southwest Biological Science Center)

Co-Investigator(s):

  • Brian Petersen (Northern Arizona University)
  • Sasha C Reed (USGS Southwest Biological Science Center)
  • John B Bradford (USGS Southwest Biological Science Center)
  • Michael C Duniway (USGS Southwest Biological Science Center)
  • Terry Fisk (National Park Service)
  • Dusty Perkins (National Park Service)
  • John R Spence (National Park Service)

Fiscal Year: 2020

Overview 

Drought and wildfire pose enormous threats to the integrity of natural resources that land managers are charged with protecting. Recent observations and modeling forecasts indicate that these stressors will likely produce catastrophic ecosystem transformations, or abrupt changes in the condition of plants, wildlife, and their habitats, in regions across the country in coming decades.  

In this project, researchers are bringing together land managers who have experienced various degrees of ecosystem transformation (from not yet experiencing any changes to seeing large changes across the lands they manage) to share their perspectives on how to mitigate large-scale changes in land condition. The team is conducting surveys and structured interviews and inviting participants to an in-person field trip and workshop. Encouraging land managers to share perspectives across diverse ecosystems with different degrees of drought and wildfire stress will produce new insight into how to better prevent and prepare for ecosystem changes. New knowledge generated from this project will be widely shared with land managers throughout the western U.S. to improve climate adaptation decision making processes.