SW CASC Publications
Solastalgia to Soliphilia: Cultural Fire, Climate Change, and Indigenous Healing
Tom, E., Adams, M. M., & Goode, R. W. (2023). Solastalgia to Soliphilia: cultural fire, climate change, and indigenous healing. Ecopsychology.
Community-engaged participatory climate research with the Pyramid Lake Paiute Tribe
Chew, S., & Chief, K. (2023). Community-engaged participatory climate research with the Pyramid Lake Paiute Tribe. Ecology and Society, 28(1).
Riparian vegetation response amid variable climate conditions across the Upper Gila River watershed: informing Tribal restoration priorities
Petrakis, R. E., Norman, L. M., & Middleton, B. R. (2023). Riparian vegetation response amid variable climate conditions across the Upper Gila River watershed: informing Tribal restoration priorities. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 11.
Drivers of California’s changing wildfires: a state-of-the knowledge synthesis
MacDonald, G., Wall, T., Enquist, C. a. F., LeRoy, S. R., Bradford, J. B., Breshears, D. D., Brown, T., Cayan, D., Dong, C., Falk, D. A., Fleishman, E., Gershunov, A., Hunter, M., Loehman, R. A., Van Mantgem, P. J., Middleton, B. R., Safford, H. D., Schwartz, M. W., & Trouet, V. (2023). Drivers of California’s changing wildfires: a state-of-the-knowledge synthesis. International Journal of Wildland Fire.
Environmental Justice in Forest Management Decision Making: Challenges and Opportunities in California
Martinez, D. J., Middleton, B. R., & Battles, J. J. (2023). Environmental Justice in Forest Management Decision-Making: Challenges and Opportunities in California. Society & Natural Resources, 1–25.
Drought-vulnerable vegetation increases exposure of disadvantaged populations to heatwaves under global warming: A case study from Los Angeles
Dong, C., Yan, Y., Guo, J., Lin, K., Chen, X., Okin, G. S., Gillespie, T. W., Dialesandro, J., & MacDonald, G. M. (2023). Drought-vulnerable vegetation increases exposure of disadvantaged populations to heatwaves under global warming: A case study from Los Angeles. Sustainable Cities and Society, 93, 104488.
Stories as data: Indigenous research sovereignty and the “Intentional Fire” podcast
Murveit, A. M., Delphin, S., Domingues, C., Bourque, S. D., Faulstich, S., Garfin, G. M., Huntly, N., Meadow, A. M., & Preston, V. (2023). Stories as data: Indigenous research sovereignty and the “Intentional Fire” podcast. Environment and Planning
Toward climate change refugia conservation at an ecoregion scale
Balantic, C., Adams, A., Gross, S. E., Mazur, R., Sawyer, S. L., Tucker, J. M., Vernon, M. E., Mengelt, C., Morales, J., Thorne, J. H., Brown, T. M., Athearn, N. D., & Morelli, T. L. (2021). Toward climate change refugia conservation at an ecoregion scale. Conservation Science and Practice, 3(9).
Fingerprinting historical tributary contributions to floodplain sediment using bulk geochemistry
Kemper, J. T., Rathburn, S. L., Friedman, J., Nelson, J. D., Mueller, E. J., & Vincent, K. R. (2022). Fingerprinting historical tributary contributions to floodplain sediment using bulk geochemistry. Catena, 214, 106231.
Global field observations of tree die-off reveal hotter-drought fingerprint for Earth’s forests
Hammond, W.M., Williams, A.P., Abatzoglou, J.T. et al. Global field observations of tree die-off reveal hotter-drought fingerprint for Earth’s forests. Nat Commu, vol. 13, 2022.
Mechanisms of forest resilience
D. A. Falk, Marshall, L. A., Young, D. J. N., Tepley, A. J., Guitermane, C. H., Gregg, R. M., Keeley, J. E., and van Mantgem, P. J., “Mechanisms of forest resilience”, Forest Ecology and Management, vol. 512, 2022.
Mechanisms of woody-plant mortality under rising drought, CO2 and vapour pressure deficit
Nate G. McDowell, Gerard Sapes, Alexandria Pivovaroff, Henry D. Adams, Craig D. Allen, William R. L. Anderegg, Matthias Arend, David D. Breshears, Tim Brodribb, Brendan Choat, Hervé Cochard, Miquel De Cáceres, Martin G. De Kauwe, Charlotte Grossiord, William M. Hammond, Henrik Hartmann, Günter Hoch, Ansgar Kahmen, Tamir Klein, D. Scott Mackay, Marylou Mantova, Jordi Martínez-Vilalta, Belinda E. Medlyn, Maurizio Mencuccini, Andrea Nardini, Rafael S. Oliveira, Anna Sala, David T. Tissue, José M. Torres-Ruiz, Amy M. Trowbridge, Anna T. Trugman, Erin Wiley & Chonggang Xu “Mechanisms of woody-plant mortality under rising drought, CO2 and vapour pressure deficit”, Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, vol. 3, 2022.
Midwinter Dry Spells Amplify Post-Fire Snowpack Decline
Hatchett, B. J., Koshkin, A. L., Guirguis, K., Rittger, K., Nolin, A. W., Heggli, A., et al. (2023). Midwinter dry spells amplify post-fire snowpack decline. Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2022GL101235.
Multiple-region, N-mixture community model to assess associations of riparian area, fragmentation, and species richness
Fogarty, Frank A., Yen, Jian D. L., Fleishman, Erica, Sollmann, Rahel, and Ke, Alison. 2022. “ Multiple-Region, N-Mixture Community Model to Assess Associations of Riparian Area, Fragmentation, and Species Richness.” Ecological Applications 32( 8): e2698.
Rethinking Risk and Responsibility in the Western Wildfire Crisis
Schwartz, M. W. (2022). Rethinking Risk and Responsibility in the Western Wildfire Crisis. Stanford Social Innovation Review.
Winter wet–dry weather patterns driving atmospheric rivers and Santa Ana winds provide evidence for increasing wildfire hazard in California
Guirguis, K., Gershunov, A., Hatchett, B. et al. Winter wet–dry weather patterns driving atmospheric rivers and Santa Ana winds provide evidence for increasing wildfire hazard in California. Clim Dyn 2022
The season for large fires in Southern California is projected to lengthen in a changing climate
G. M. MacDonald, Dong, C., A. Williams, P., Abatzoglou, J. T., Lin, K., Okin, G. S., Gillespie, T. W., Long, D., Lin, Y. - H., and Hall, A., “The season for large fires in Southern California is projected to lengthen in a changing climate”, Communications Earth & Environment, 2022.
Vegetation type conversion in the US Southwest: frontline observations and management responses
C. H. Guiterman, Gregg, R. M., Marshall, L. A. E., Beckmann, J. J., van Mantgem, P. J., Falk, D. A., Keeley, J. E., Caprio, A. C., Coop, J. D., Fornwalt, P. J., Haffey, C., R. Hagmann, K., Jackson, S. T., Lynch, A. M., Margolis, E. Q., Marks, C., Meyer, M. D., Safford, H., Syphard, A. Dunya, Taylor, A., Wilcox, C., Carril, D., Enquist, C. A. F., Huffman, D., Iniguez, J., Molinari, N. A., Restaino, C., and Stevens, J. T., “Vegetation type conversion in the US Southwest: frontline observations and management responses”, Fire Ecol, vol. 18, 2022.
Alternative Management Paradigms for the Future of the Colorado and Green Rivers
K. Wheeler, Schmidt, J. C., Salehabadi, H., Neilson, B., Mihalevich, B., Kasprak, A., Goeking, S., Gilbert, L., Wang, J., Udall, B., Bruckerhoff, L., and Kuhn, E., “Alternative Management Paradigms for the Future of the Colorado and Green Rivers”, Center for Colorado River Studies, 2021.
Bias in estimated breeding-bird abundance from closure-assumption violations
E. Fleishman and Fogarty, F. A., “Bias in estimated breeding-bird abundance from closure-assumption violations”, Ecological Indicators, vol. 131, 2021.
Detection of drought-induced blue oak mortality in the Sierra Nevada Mountains, California
M. Huesca, Thorne, J. H., Boynton, R., and Shapiro, K. D., “Detection of drought-induced blue oak mortality in the Sierra Nevada Mountains, California”, Ecosphere, vol. 12, 2021.
DOMINANT SONORAN DESERT PLANT SPECIES HAVE DIVERGENT PHENOLOGICAL RESPONSES TO CLIMATE CHANGE
V. A. Landau, Munson, S. M., Zachmann, L. J., Wiens, J. F., Franklin, K., and Crausbay, S. D., “DOMINANT SONORAN DESERT PLANT SPECIES HAVE DIVERGENT PHENOLOGICAL RESPONSES TO CLIMATE CHANGE”, Madroño, vol. 68, 2021.
Expanded Ethical Principles for Research Partnership and Transdisciplinary Natural Resource Management Science
A. M. Meadow, Peck, D. E., Owen, G., Wilmer, H., Brymer, A. Bentley, Carroll, S. Russo, Ferguson, D. B., Garba, I., and Greene, C., “Expanded Ethical Principles for Research Partnership and Transdisciplinary Natural Resource Management Science”, Environmental Management, 2021.
Forest Resistance to Extended Drought Enhanced by Prescribed Fire in Low Elevation Forests of the Sierra Nevada
P. J. van Mantgem, Das, A. J., Stephenson, N. L., and Caprio, A. C., “Forest Resistance to Extended Drought Enhanced by Prescribed Fire in Low Elevation Forests of the Sierra Nevada”, Forests, vol. 12, 2021.
High-resolution sedimentological and geochemical records of three marshes in San Francisco Bay, California
E. Fard, MacDonald, G. M., Smol, J. P., Lydon, S., and Brown, L. N., “High-resolution sedimentological and geochemical records of three marshes in San Francisco Bay, California”, Quaternary International, 2021.
Keepers of the Flame: Supporting the Revitalization of Indigenous Cultural Burning
C. Adlam, Middleton, B. Rose, Almendariz, D., Goode, R. W., and Martinez, D. J., “Keepers of the Flame: Supporting the Revitalization of Indigenous Cultural Burning”, Society & Natural Resources, 2021.
Localized Scenarios and Latitudinal Patterns of Vertical and Lateral Resilience of Tidal Marshes to Sea-Level Rise in the Contiguous United States
J. R. Holmquist, MacDonald, G. M., and Brown, L. N., “Localized Scenarios and Latitudinal Patterns of Vertical and Lateral Resilience of Tidal Marshes to Sea-Level Rise in the Contiguous United States”, Earth's Future, vol. 9, no. 6, 2021.
Multiple climate change-driven tipping points for coastal systems
P. L. Barnard, Iacobellis, S. F., Dugan, J. E., Page, H. M., Wood, N. J., Hart, J. A. Finzi, Cayan, D. R., Erikson, L. H., Hubbard, D. M., Myers, M. R., and Melack, J. M., “Multiple climate change-driven tipping points for coastal systems”, Scientific Reports, vol. 11, 2021.
Opening learning spaces to create actionable knowledge for conservation
M. J. Stern, Meadow, A. M., and Briske, D. D., “Opening learning spaces to create actionable knowledge for conservation”, Conservation Science and Practice, 2021.
Toward climate change refugia conservation at an ecoregion scale
T. M. Brown, Balantic, C., Morelli, T. Lyn, Adams, A., Gross, S., Mazur, R., Sawyer, S., Tucker, J., Vernon, M., Mengelt, C., Morales, J., Thorne, J. H., and Athearn, N., “Toward climate change refugia conservation at an ecoregion scale”, Conservation Science and Practice, vol. 3, no. 9, 2021.
Upper Colorado River Basin 20th century droughts under 21st century warming: Plausible Scenarios for the Future
C. A.Woodhouse, Smith, R. M., McAfee, S. A., Pederson, G. T., McCabe, G. J., W. Miller, P., and Csank, A., “Upper Colorado River Basin 20th century droughts under 21st century warming: Plausible Scenarios for the Future”, Climate Services, vol. 21, 2021.
Associations of Breeding-bird Abundance with Climate vary among Species and Trait-based Groups in Southern California
F. A. Fogarty, Fleishman, E., DeHaan, L. L., and Cayan, D. R., “Associations of Breeding-bird Abundance with Climate vary among Species and Trait-based Groups in Southern California”, PLOS One, 2020.
Atmospheric Rivers
M. F. Ralph, Dettinger, M., Rutz, J. J., and Waliser, D. E., Atmospheric Rivers. Springer, 2020.
Becoming Storms: Indigenous Water Protectors Fight for the Future
B. Rose Middl Manning, Martinez, D., Reed, K., and Mascarhenas, M., “Becoming Storms: Indigenous Water Protectors Fight for the Future”, in Lessons in Environmental Justice From Civil Rights to Black Lives Matter and Idle No More, 2020.
Effects of Elevated Sea Levels and Waves on Southern California Estuaries During the 2015–2016 El Niño
M. E. Harvey, Schroeter, S. C., Elwany, H., Page, H. M., Ambrose, R., Johnston, K., Thorne, K., Pawlak, G., Meltzer, H., Tiefenthaler, L., Largier, J. L., Gallien, T., Stein, E. D., Crooks, J. A., Whitcraft, C., and Giddings, S. N., “Effects of Elevated Sea Levels and Waves on Southern California Estuaries During the 2015–2016 El Niño”, Estuaries and Coasts, 2020.
Effects of postfire climate and seed availability on postfire conifer regeneration
M. C. Wright, Thorne, J. H., Welch, K. R., Stewart, J. A. E., van Mantgem, P. J., Young, D. J. N., Shive, K. L., Preisler, H. K., Das, A. J., Stephenson, N. L., Keeley, J. E., and Safford, H. D., “Effects of postfire climate and seed availability on postfire conifer regeneration”, Ecological Applications, 2020.
Forest Management Under Megadrought: Urgent Needs at Finer Scale and Higher Intensity
J. P. Field, Allen, C. D., Breshears, D. D., Bradford, J. B., Law, D. J., and Feng, X., “Forest Management Under Megadrought: Urgent Needs at Finer Scale and Higher Intensity”, Frontiers in Forests and Global Change, 2020.
Mapping of Land Cover with Open‐source Software and Ultra‐high‐resolution Imagery Acquired with Unmanned Aerial Vehicles
N. Horning, Zillig, M. Wohlfeil, Fogarty, F. A., Ersts, P. J., and Fleishman, E., “Mapping of Land Cover with Open‐source Software and Ultra‐high‐resolution Imagery Acquired with Unmanned Aerial Vehicles”, Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation, 2020.
Typologizing Stakeholder Information Use to Better Understand the Impacts of Collaborative Climate Science
K. VanderMolen, Wall, T. U., Horangic, A., and Meadow, A. M., “Typologizing Stakeholder Information Use to Better Understand the Impacts of Collaborative Climate Science”, Environmental Management, 2020.
Atmospheric rivers impact California's coastal water quality via extreme precipitation
R. Aguilera, Benmarhnia, T., and Gershunov, A., “Atmospheric rivers impact California's coastal water quality via extreme precipitation”, Science of the Total Environment, vol. 671, 2019.
A Call for the Evaluation of Web-based Climate Data and Analysis Tools
K. VanderMolen, Wall, T., and Daudert, B., “A Call for the Evaluation of Web-based Climate Data and Analysis Tools”, American Meteorological Society, vol. 100, 2019.
Climate Change Suppresses Santa Ana Winds of Southern California and Sharpens Their Seasonality
J. Guzman‐Morales and Gershunov, A., “Climate Change Suppresses Santa Ana Winds of Southern California and Sharpens Their Seasonality”, Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 46, no. 5, 2019.
Fire, livestock grazing, topography, and precipitation affect occurrence and prevalence of Cheatgrass (Bromus tectorum) in the central Great Basin, USA
F. A. Fogarty, M. Zillig., W., Williamson, M. A., Fleishman, E., Nally, R. C. Mac, Chambers, J. C., Bradley, B. A., Dobkin, D. S., Board, D. I., Leu, M., and Horning, N., “Fire, livestock grazing, topography, and precipitation affect occurrence and prevalence of Cheatgrass (Bromus tectorum) in the central Great Basin, USA”, Biological Invasions, 2019.
Jet stream dynamics, hydroclimate, and fire in California from 1600 CE to present
E. Zorita, Trouet, V., Taylor, A. H., and Wahl, E. R., “Jet stream dynamics, hydroclimate, and fire in California from 1600 CE to present”, Proceedings for the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 116, 2019.
Multiple Stressors Influence Salt Marsh Recovery after a Spring Fire at Mugu Lagoon, CA
J. A. Rosencranz, MacDonald, G. M., Brown, L. N., Ambrose, R. F., and Willis, K. S., “Multiple Stressors Influence Salt Marsh Recovery after a Spring Fire at Mugu Lagoon, CA”, WETLANDS, 2019.
Observed Impacts of Anthropogenic Climate Change on Wildfire in California
D. A. Bishop, Lettenmaier, D. P., A. Williams, P., Abatzoglou, J. T., Gershunov, A., Guzman‐Morales, J., and Balch, J. K., “Observed Impacts of Anthropogenic Climate Change on Wildfire in California”, Earth's Future, vol. 7, no. 8, 2019.
Precipitation regime change in Western North America: The role of Atmospheric Rivers
A. Gershunov, F. Ralph, M., Kalansky, J., Polade, S. D., Cayan, D. R., Lavers, D. A., Dettinger, M. D., Pierce, D. W., Guirguis, K., Clemesha, R. E. S., and Shulgina, T., “Precipitation regime change in Western North America: The role of Atmospheric Rivers”, Scientific Reports, vol. 9, 2019.
Returning the Yurok Forest to the Yurok Tribe: California’s First Tribal Carbon Credit Project,
B. Rose Middleton and Reed, K., “Returning the Yurok Forest to the Yurok Tribe: California’s First Tribal Carbon Credit Project,”, in Stan. Envtl. L. Rev., vol. 39, 2019.
Shifts of Demography and Growth in Limber Pine Forests of the Great Basin, USA, across 4000 years of Climate Variability
C. I. Millar, King, J. C., Delany, D. L., Westfall, R. D., and Charlet, D. A., “Shifts of Demography and Growth in Limber Pine Forests of the Great Basin, USA, across 4000 years of Climate Variability”, Quaternary Research, vol. 91, 2019.
Toward Effective Actionable Science: Stakeholder Needs Assessment Final Report
G. Garfin and Haverland, A., “Toward Effective Actionable Science: Stakeholder Needs Assessment Final Report”, Institute of the Environment, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, 2019.
Vegetation Responses to 2012–2016 Drought in Northern and Southern California
C. Dong, MacDonald, G. M., A. Williams, P., Okin, G. S., Gillespie, T. W., and Willis, K., “Vegetation Responses to 2012–2016 Drought in Northern and Southern California”, Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 46, 2019.
The Art of Co-production of Knowledge in Environmental Sciences and Management: Lessons from International Practice
I. N. S. Djenontin and Meadow, A. M., “The Art of Co-production of Knowledge in Environmental Sciences and Management: Lessons from International Practice”, Environmental Management, vol. 61, 2018.
Do Low-elevation Ravines Provide Climate Refugia for Subalpine Limber Pine (Pinus flexilis) in the Great Basin, USA?
C. I. Millar, Flint, A. L., Westfall, R. D., Charlet, D. A., King, J. C., Flint, L. E., and Delany, D. L., “Do Low-elevation Ravines Provide Climate Refugia for Subalpine Limber Pine (Pinus flexilis) in the Great Basin, USA?”, Canadian Journal of Forest Research, vol. 58, 2018.
Extreme Landfalling Atmospheric River Events in Arizona: Possible Future Changes
I. Singh, Walter, J., Demaria, E., and Dominguez, F., “Extreme Landfalling Atmospheric River Events in Arizona: Possible Future Changes”, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, vol. 123, 2018.
Investigating Runoff Efficiency in Upper Colorado River Streamflow over Past Centuries
C. A. Woodhouse and Pederson, G. T., “Investigating Runoff Efficiency in Upper Colorado River Streamflow over Past Centuries”, Water Resources Research, vol. 54, 2018.
Sea-level rise, habitat loss, and potential extirpation of a salt marsh specialist bird in urbanized landscapes
J. A. Rosencranz, Thorne, K. M., Buffington, K. J., Takekawa, J. Y., Hechinger, R. F., Stewart, T. E., Ambrose, R. F., MacDonald, G. M., Holmgren, M. A., Crooks, J. A., Patton, R. T., and Lafferty, K. D., “Sea-level rise, habitat loss, and potential extirpation of a salt marsh specialist bird in urbanized landscapes”, Ecology and evolution. [Oxford] :, 2018.
Application of Synthetic Scenarios to Address Water Resource Concerns: A Management-guided Case Study from the Upper Colorado River Basin
S. A. McAfee, McCabe, G. J., Woodhouse, C. A., and Pederson, G. T., “Application of Synthetic Scenarios to Address Water Resource Concerns: A Management-guided Case Study from the Upper Colorado River Basin”, Climate Services, vol. 8, 2017.
Assessing the Climate-scale Variability of Atmospheric Rivers Affecting Western North America
A. Gershunov, Ralph, F. M., Lavers, D. A., Rutz, J. J., and Shulgina, T., “Assessing the Climate-scale Variability of Atmospheric Rivers Affecting Western North America”, Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 44, 2017.
Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment of Forests in the Southwest USA
A. Holguin, Kerr, A. C., Schwartz, M. W., Thorne, J. H., Chambers, J. C., Stine, P. A., and Choe, H., “Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment of Forests in the Southwest USA”, Climate Change, vol. 148, 2017.
Data on Influence of Atmospheric Rivers on Vegetation Productivity and Fire Patterns in the Southwestern
C. M. Albano, Soulard, C. E., and Dettinger, M. D., “Data on Influence of Atmospheric Rivers on Vegetation Productivity and Fire Patterns in the Southwestern ”, U.S. Geological Survey Data Release, 2017.
Developing Evaluation Indicators to Improve the Process of Coproducing Usable Climate Science
T. U. Wall, Meadow, A. M., and Horganic, A., “Developing Evaluation Indicators to Improve the Process of Coproducing Usable Climate Science”, Weather, Climate, and Society, vol. 9, 2017.
Evidence that Recent Warming is Reducing Upper Colorado River Flows
G. McCabe, McAfee, S., Woodhouse, C., Pederson, G., and Wolock, D., “Evidence that Recent Warming is Reducing Upper Colorado River Flows”, Earth Interactions, vol. 21, 2017.
Influence of Atmospheric Rivers on Vegetation Productivity and Fire Patterns in the Southwestern US. Journal of Geophysical Research
C. M. Albano, Soulard, C. E., and Dettinger, M. D., “Influence of Atmospheric Rivers on Vegetation Productivity and Fire Patterns in the Southwestern US. Journal of Geophysical Research”, Biogeosciences, vol. 122, 2017.
Observed Hydrologic Impacts of Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers in the Salt and Verde basins of Arizona, United States.
E. Demaria, Hu, H., von Glinski, G., Robles, M. , Skindlov, J., Walter, J., and Dominguez, F., “Observed Hydrologic Impacts of Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers in the Salt and Verde basins of Arizona, United States.”, Water Resources Research, vol. 53, 2017.
Precipitation in a Warming World: Assessing Projected Hydro-climate Changes in California and other Mediterranean Climate regions
S. D. Polade, Pierce, D. W., Dettinger, M., Cayan, D. R., and Gershunov, A., “Precipitation in a Warming World: Assessing Projected Hydro-climate Changes in California and other Mediterranean Climate regions”, Scientific Reports, vol. 7, 2017.
Application of an extreme winter storm scenario to identify vulnerabilities, mitigation options, and science needs in the Sierra Nevada mountains, USA
C. M. Albano, Dettinger, M. D., McCarthy, M. I., Schaller, K. D., Welborn, T. L., and Cox, D. A., “Application of an extreme winter storm scenario to identify vulnerabilities, mitigation options, and science needs in the Sierra Nevada mountains, USA”, Natural Hazards, vol. 80, pp. 879-900, 2016.
Complex responses of spring vegetation growth to climate in a moisture-limited alpine meadow
H. Ganjurjav, Gao, Q., Schwartz, M. W., Zhu, W., Liang, Y., Li, Y., Wan, Y., Cao, X., Williamson, M. A., and Jiangcun, W., “Complex responses of spring vegetation growth to climate in a moisture-limited alpine meadow”, Scientific reports, vol. 6, 2016.
Continuous 1985–2012 Landsat Monitoring to Assess Fire Effects on Meadows in Yosemite National Park, California
C. E. Soulard, Walker, J. J., Villarreal, M. L., and Albano, C. M., “Continuous 1985–2012 Landsat Monitoring to Assess Fire Effects on Meadows in Yosemite National Park, California”, Remote Sensing, vol. 8, 2016.
Does prescribed fire promote resistance to drought in low elevation forests of the Sierra Nevada, California, USA?
P. J. van Mantgem, Caprio, A. C., Stephenson, N. L., and Das, A. J., “Does prescribed fire promote resistance to drought in low elevation forests of the Sierra Nevada, California, USA?”, Fire Ecology, vol. 12, pp. 13-25, 2016.
Effects of climate change on tidal marshes along a latitudinal gradient in California
K. M. Thorne, MacDonald, G. M., Ambrose, R. F., Buffington, K. J., Freeman, C. M., Janousek, C. N., Brown, L. N., Holmquist, J. R., Guntenspergen, G. R., and Powelson, K. W., “Effects of climate change on tidal marshes along a latitudinal gradient in California”, 2016.
Heat Wave Probability in the Changing Climate of the Southwest US
K. Guirguis, Pierce, D. W., Cayan, D. R., and Gershunov, A., “Heat Wave Probability in the Changing Climate of the Southwest US”, Climate Dynamics, vol. 50, 2016.
Identifying bird and reptile vulnerabilities to climate change in the southwestern United States
J. R. Hatten, J Giermakowski, T., Holmes, J. A., Nowak, E. M., Johnson, M. J., Ironside, K. E., Peters, M., Truettner, C., and Cole, K. L., “Identifying bird and reptile vulnerabilities to climate change in the southwestern United States”, 2016.
Increasing influence of air temperature on upper Colorado River streamflow
C. A. Woodhouse, Pederson, G. T., Morino, K., McAfee, S. A., and McCabe, G. J., “Increasing influence of air temperature on upper Colorado River streamflow”, Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 43, pp. 2174-2181, 2016.
Lessons from First-Generation Climate Science Integrators
J. Brugger, Meadow, A., and Horangic, A., “Lessons from First-Generation Climate Science Integrators”, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, vol. 97, pp. 355-365, 2016.
Multi-century evaluation of Sierra Nevada snowpack
S. Belmecheri, Babst, F., Wahl, E. R., Stahle, D. W., and Trouet, V., “Multi-century evaluation of Sierra Nevada snowpack”, Nature Climate Change, vol. 6, pp. 2-3, 2016.
The Northward March of Summer Low Cloudiness Along the California Coast
R. E. S. Clemesha, Cayan, D. R., Williams, A. P., Iacobellis, S. F., and Gershunov, A., “The Northward March of Summer Low Cloudiness Along the California Coast”, Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 43, 2016.
Potential effects of sea-level rise on plant productivity: species-specific responses in northeast Pacific tidal marshes
C. N. Janousek, Buffington, K. J., Thorne, K. M., Guntenspergen, G. R., Takekawa, J. Y., and Dugger, B. D., “Potential effects of sea-level rise on plant productivity: species-specific responses in northeast Pacific tidal marshes”, Marine Ecology Progress Series, vol. 548, pp. 111-125, 2016.
A Rapid Forest Assessment Method for Multiparty Monitoring Across Landscapes
C. R. Davis, R Belote, T., Williamson, M. A., Larson, A. J., and Esch, B. E., “A Rapid Forest Assessment Method for Multiparty Monitoring Across Landscapes”, Journal of Forestry, vol. 114, pp. 125-133, 2016.
Regulation of Precipitation-Associated Vegetation Dynamics on Catchment Water Balance in a Semiarid and Arid Mountainous Watershed
G. Tang, Sun, L., Lutz, A., and Carroll, R. W. H., “Regulation of Precipitation-Associated Vegetation Dynamics on Catchment Water Balance in a Semiarid and Arid Mountainous Watershed”, Ecohydrology, 2016.
Santa Ana Winds of Southern California: Their Climatology, Extremes, and Behavior Spanning six and a half Decades
J. Guzman-Morales, Cayan, D., Li, H., Theiss, J., and Gershunov, A., “Santa Ana Winds of Southern California: Their Climatology, Extremes, and Behavior Spanning six and a half Decades”, Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 43, 2016.
Socioecological transitions trigger fire regime shifts and modulate fire–climate interactions in the Sierra Nevada, USA, 1600–2015 CE
A. H. Taylor, Trouet, V., Skinner, C. N., and Stephens, S., “Socioecological transitions trigger fire regime shifts and modulate fire–climate interactions in the Sierra Nevada, USA, 1600–2015 CE”, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, p. 201609775, 2016.
Statistical correction of lidar-derived digital elevation models with multispectral airborne imagery in tidal marshes
K. J. Buffington, Dugger, B. D., Thorne, K. M., and Takekawa, J. Y., “Statistical correction of lidar-derived digital elevation models with multispectral airborne imagery in tidal marshes”, Remote Sensing of Environment, vol. 186, pp. 616–625, 2016.
Adapting California’s ecosystems to a changing climate
E. A. Chornesky, Ackerly, D. D., Beier, P., Davis, F. W., Flint, L. E., Lawler, J. J., Moyle, P. B., Moritz, M. A., Scoonover, M., and Byrd, K., “Adapting California’s ecosystems to a changing climate”, BioScience, vol. 65, pp. 247-262, 2015.
Are conservation organizations configured for effective adaptation to global change?
P. R. Armsworth, Larson, E. R., Jackson, S. T., Sax, D. F., Simonin, P., Blossey, B., Green, N., Klein, M. L., Lester, L., Ricketts, T. H., Runge, M. C., and Shaw, M. R., “Are conservation organizations configured for effective adaptation to global change?”, Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 2015.
Balanced Sediment Fluxes in Southern California’s Mediterranean-Climate Zone Salt Marshes
J. A. Rosencranz, Ganju, N. K., Ambrose, R. F., Brosnahan, S. M., Dickhudt, P. J., Guntenspergen, G. R., MacDonald, G. M., Takekawa, J. Y., and Thorne, K. M., “Balanced Sediment Fluxes in Southern California’s Mediterranean-Climate Zone Salt Marshes”, Estuaries and Coasts, pp. 1-15, 2015.
Case studies of conservation plans that incorporate geodiversity
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Challenges facing the Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta: Complex, chaotic, or simply cantankerous?
S. N. Luoma, Dahm, C. N., Healey, M., and Moore, J. N., “Challenges facing the Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta: Complex, chaotic, or simply cantankerous?”, San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, vol. 13, 2015.
Climate Change: Evaluating Your Local and Regional Water Resources
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Climate change intensification of horizontal water vapor transport in CMIP5
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Climate remains an important driver of post-European vegetation change in the eastern United States
N. Pederson, D’Amato, A. W., Dyer, J. M., Foster, D. R., Goldblum, D., Hart, J. L., Hessl, A. E., Iverson, L. R., Jackson, S. T., and Martin-Benito, D., “Climate remains an important driver of post-European vegetation change in the eastern United States”, Global Change Biology, vol. 21, pp. 2105-2110, 2015.
Climatology of extreme daily precipitation in Colorado and its diverse spatial and seasonal variability
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Community ecology in a changing environment: perspectives from the Quaternary
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Conservation Paleobiology: Leveraging Knowledge of the Past to Inform Conservation and Restoration
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Correction: Incorporating Cold-Air Pooling into Downscaled Climate Models Increases Potential Refugia for Snow-Dependent Species within the Sierra Nevada Ecoregion, CA
J. A. Curtis, Flint, L. E., Flint, A. L., Lundquist, J. D., Hudgens, B., Boydston, E. E., and Young, J. K., “Correction: Incorporating Cold-Air Pooling into Downscaled Climate Models Increases Potential Refugia for Snow-Dependent Species within the Sierra Nevada Ecoregion, CA”, PloS one, vol. 10, 2015.
Detecting mismatches of bird migration stopover and tree phenology in response to changing climate
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Ecologically-Relevant Maps of Landforms and Physiographic Diversity for Climate Adaptation Planning
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Establishing best practices to improve usefulness and usability of web interfaces providing atmospheric data
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Estimating the onset of spring from a complex phenology database: Trade-offs across geographic scales
K. L. Gerst, Kellermann, J. L., Enquist, C. A. F., Rosemartin, A. H., and Denny, E. G., “Estimating the onset of spring from a complex phenology database: Trade-offs across geographic scales”, International Journal of Biometeorology, pp. 1-10, 2015.
A hybrid dynamical–statistical downscaling technique. Part I: Development and validation of the technique
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A hybrid dynamical–statistical downscaling technique. Part II: End-of-century warming projections predict a new climate state in the Los Angeles region
F. Sun, Walton, D. B., and Hall, A., “A hybrid dynamical–statistical downscaling technique. Part II: End-of-century warming projections predict a new climate state in the Los Angeles region”, Journal of Climate, vol. 28, pp. 4618-4636, 2015.
Identification of geophysically diverse locations that may facilitate species’ persistence and adaptation to climate change in the southwestern United States
C. M. Albano, “Identification of geophysically diverse locations that may facilitate species’ persistence and adaptation to climate change in the southwestern United States”, Landscape Ecology, 2015.
Improved bias correction techniques for hydrological simulations of climate change
D. W. Pierce, Cayan, D. R., Maurer, E. P., Abatzoglou, J. T., and Hegewisch, K. C., “Improved bias correction techniques for hydrological simulations of climate change”, Journal of Hydrometeorology, vol. 16, pp. 2421-2442, 2015.
Increasing elevation of fire in the Sierra Nevada and implications for forest change
M. W. Schwartz, Butt, N., Dolanc, C. R., Holguin, A., Moritz, M. A., North, M. P., Safford, H. D., Stephenson, N. L., Thorne, J. H., and van Mantgem, P. J., “Increasing elevation of fire in the Sierra Nevada and implications for forest change”, Ecosphere, vol. 6, pp. 1-10, 2015.
Integrated climate and land use change scenarios for California rangeland ecosystem services: Wildlife habitat, soil carbon, and water supply
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Interannual variability in associations between seasonal climate, weather, and extremes: wintertime temperature over the Southwestern United States
K. Guirguis, Gershunov, A., and Cayan, D. R., “Interannual variability in associations between seasonal climate, weather, and extremes: wintertime temperature over the Southwestern United States”, Environmental Research Letters, vol. 10, p. 124023, 2015.
Marine radiocarbon reservoir values in southern California estuaries: Interspecies, latitudinal, and interannual variability
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The more extreme nature of U.S. warm season climate in the recent observational record and two “well-performing” dynamically downscaled CMIP3 models
H. - I. Chang, Castro, C. L., Carrillo, C. M., and Dominguez, F., “The more extreme nature of U.S. warm season climate in the recent observational record and two “well-performing” dynamically downscaled CMIP3 models”, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, vol. 120, pp. 8244-8263, 2015.
Moving toward the deliberate coproduction of climate science knowledge
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Multiple sources of uncertainty affect metrics for ranking conservation risk under climate change
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Probabilistic tail dependence of intense precipitation on spatiotemporal scale in observations, reanalyses, and GCMs
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The probability distribution of intense daily precipitation
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Promoting atmospheric-river and snowmelt-fueled biogeomorphic processes by restoring river-floodplain connectivity in California’s Central Valley
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Recruitment Patterns and Growth of High-Elevation Pines in Response to Climatic Variability (1883–2013), in the Western Great Basin, USA
C. I. Millar, Flint, A. L., Westfall, R. D., Delany, D. L., and Flint, L. E., “Recruitment Patterns and Growth of High-Elevation Pines in Response to Climatic Variability (1883–2013), in the Western Great Basin, USA”, Canadian Journal of Forest Research, vol. 45, 2015.
Southwest regional climate hub and California subsidiary hub assessment of climate change vulnerability and adaptation and mitigation strategies
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A spatially comprehensive, hydrometeorological data set for Mexico, the U.S., and Southern Canada 1950–2013
B. Livneh, Bohn, T. J., Pierce, D. W., Munoz-Arriola, F., Nijssen, B., Vose, R., Cayan, D. R., and Brekke, L., “A spatially comprehensive, hydrometeorological data set for Mexico, the U.S., and Southern Canada 1950–2013”, Scientific Data, vol. 2, 2015.
Storage in California’s reservoirs and snowpack in this time of drought
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Targeting climate diversity in conservation planning to build resilience to climate change
N. E. Heller, Kreitler, J., Ackerly, D. D., Weiss, S. B., Recinos, A., Branciforte, R., Flint, L. E., Flint, A. L., and Micheli, E., “Targeting climate diversity in conservation planning to build resilience to climate change”, Ecosphere, vol. 6, pp. 1-20, 2015.
The theory behind, and the challenges of, conserving nature’s stage in a time of rapid change
J. J. Lawler, Ackerly, D. D., Albano, C. M., Anderson, M. G., Dobrowski, S. Z., Gill, J. L., Heller, N. E., Pressey, R. L., Sanderson, E. W., and Weiss, S. B., “The theory behind, and the challenges of, conserving nature’s stage in a time of rapid change”, Conservation Biology, vol. 29, pp. 618-629, 2015.
Topographic, latitudinal and climatic distribution of Pinus coulteri: geographic range limits are not at the edge of the climate envelope
N. I. Chardon, Cornwell, W. K., Flint, L. E., Flint, A. L., and Ackerly, D. D., “Topographic, latitudinal and climatic distribution of Pinus coulteri: geographic range limits are not at the edge of the climate envelope”, Ecography, vol. 38, pp. 590-601, 2015.
Twentieth-century shifts in forest structure in California: Denser forests, smaller trees, and increased dominance of oaks
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Twenty-First-Century Precipitation Changes over the Los Angeles Region
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Annual flood sensitivities to El Niño–Southern Oscillation at the global scale
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Best practices for southern California coastal wetland restoration and management in the face of climate change
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Biogeography of Pleistocene conifer species from the Ziegler Reservoir fossil site, Snowmass Village, Colorado
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California Basin characterization model: a dataset of historical and future hydrologic response to climate change
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The challenge of biodiversity adaptation under climate change
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The changing role of history in restoration ecology
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Climate change: Impacts in the third dimension
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Climate change perception, observation and policy support in rural Nevada: A comparative analysis of Native Americans, non-native ranchers and farmers and mainstream America
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Drought and the California delta—A matter of extremes
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An enhanced archive facilitating climate impacts and adaptation analysis
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Heterogeneity in avian richness-environment relationships along the Pacific Crest Trail
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Impacts in the third dimension
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Incorporating cold-air pooling into downscaled climate models increases potential refugia for snow-dependent species within the Sierra Nevada Ecoregion, CA
J. A. Curtis, Flint, L. E., Flint, A. L., Lundquist, J. D., Hudgens, B., Boydston, E. E., and Young, J. K., “Incorporating cold-air pooling into downscaled climate models increases potential refugia for snow-dependent species within the Sierra Nevada Ecoregion, CA”, PLoS ONE, vol. 9, p. e106984, 2014.
Indigenous experiences in the U.S. with climate change and environmental stewardship in the Anthropocene
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The key role of dry days in changing regional climate and precipitation regimes
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A Late Holocene Reconstruction of Coastal Salt Marsh Net Accretion Rates and Environmental Change from Three Sites in Southern California
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Managing the whole landscape: Historical, hybrid, and novel ecosystems
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Native American Tribe Prepares for Climate Change with the Help of a Soil Scientist
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North American west coast summer low cloudiness: Broadscale variability associated with sea surface temperature
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Ongoing drought-induced uplift in the western United States.
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Phenology research for natural resource management in the United States
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Policymakers’ and scientists’ ranks of research priorities for resource-management policy
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Projecting current and future location, quality, and connectivity of habitat for breeding birds in the Great Basin
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A screening tool for delineating subregions of steady recharge within groundwater models
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A scrutiny of the evidence for pressure-induced state shifts in estuarine and nearshore ecosystems
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Stakeholder Perspectives on Vulnerabilities and Preparedness for an Extreme Storm Event in the Greater Lake Tahoe, Reno and Carson City Region
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Statistical Downscaling Using Localized Constructed Analogs (LOCA)
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Strong influence of El Niño Southern Oscillation on flood risk around the world
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Summary of the Snowmastodon Project Special Volume: A high-elevation, multi-proxy biotic and environmental record of MIS 6–4 from the Ziegler Reservoir fossil site, Snowmass Village, Colorado, USA
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Systematic identification of potential conservation priority areas on roadless Bureau of Land Management lands in the western United States
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A vision for future observations for western U.S. extreme precipitation and flooding
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Vulnerability of birds to climate change in California’s Sierra Nevada
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The ancient blue oak woodlands of California: Longevity and hydroclimatic history
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Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment
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Atmospheric Rivers as Drought Busters on the U.S. West Coast
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California Amphibian and Reptile Species of Future Concern: Conservation and Climate Change
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California amphibian and reptile species of future concern: conservation and climate change Final Report to the California Department of Fish and Wildlife, Nongame Wildlife Program, Task 12
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California Climate Scenarios Assessment
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Climate change impacts on the water resources of American Indians and Alaska Natives in the US
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Climate change in arid lands and Native American socioeconomic vulnerability: The case of the Pyramid Lake Paiute Tribe
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Climate science: The challenge of hot drought
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Climate-related changes in peatland carbon accumulation during the last millennium
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Climatic correlates of tree mortality in water-and energy-limited forests
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Combined impacts of current and future dust deposition and regional warming on Colorado River Basin snow dynamics and hydrology
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The coming megafloods
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The continuum of hydroclimate variability in western North America during the last millennium
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Contributions of long-distance dispersal to population growth in colonising Pinus ponderosa populations
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Development of genetic diversity, differentiation and structure over 500 years in four ponderosa pine populations
M. R. Lesser, Parchman, T. L., and Jackson, S. T., “Development of genetic diversity, differentiation and structure over 500 years in four ponderosa pine populations”, Molecular Ecology, vol. 22, pp. 2640-2652, 2013.
Dramatic response to climate change in the Southwest: Robert Whittaker’s 1963 Arizona mountain plant transect revisited
R. C. Brusca, Wiens, J. F., Meyer, W. M., Eble, J., Franklin, K., Overpeck, J. T., and Moore, W., “Dramatic response to climate change in the Southwest: Robert Whittaker’s 1963 Arizona mountain plant transect revisited”, Ecology and Evolution, vol. 3, pp. 3307-3319, 2013.
Errors in climate model daily precipitation and temperature output: time invariance and implications for bias correction
E. P. Maurer, Das, T., and Cayan, D. R., “Errors in climate model daily precipitation and temperature output: time invariance and implications for bias correction”, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions, vol. 17, 2013.
Establishing Cool-Season Grasses on a Degraded Arid Rangeland of the Colorado Plateau
E. J. Bernstein, Albano, C. M., Sisk, T. D., Crews, T. E., and Rosenstock, S., “Establishing Cool-Season Grasses on a Degraded Arid Rangeland of the Colorado Plateau”, Restoration Ecology, 2013.
Fens as whole-ecosystem gauges of groundwater recharge under climate change
J. Z. Drexler, Knifong, D., Tuil, J. L., Flint, L. E., and Flint, A. L., “Fens as whole-ecosystem gauges of groundwater recharge under climate change”, Journal of Hydrology, vol. 481, pp. 22-34, 2013.
Fine-scale hydrologic modeling for regional landscape applications: The California Basin Characterization Model development and performance
L. E. Flint, Flint, A. L., Thorne, J. H., and Boynton, R., “Fine-scale hydrologic modeling for regional landscape applications: The California Basin Characterization Model development and performance”, Ecological Processes, vol. 2, pp. 1-21, 2013.
Future Climate: Projected Average
D. R. Cayan, Tyree, M., Kunkel, K. E., Castro, C., Gershunov, A., Barsugli, J., Ray, A. J., Overpeck, J. T., Anderson, M., Russell, J., Rajagopalan, B., Rangwala, I., and Duffy, P., “Future Climate: Projected Average”, in Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, Washington D.C.: Island Press, 2013.
Future Climate: Projected Extremes
A. Gershunov, Rajagopalan, B., Overpeck, J. T., Guirguis, K., Hughes, M., Dettinger, M. D., Castro, C., Schwartz, R. E., Anderson, M., Ray, A. J., Barsugli, J., Cavazos, T., and Alexander, M., “Future Climate: Projected Extremes”, in Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, Washington, D.C.: Island Press, 2013.
Human Health
H. E. Brown, Comrie, A. C., Drechsler, D. M., Barker, C. M., Basu, R., Brown, T., Gershunov, A., A. Kilpatrick, M., Reisen, W. K., and Ruddell, D. M., “Human Health”, in Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, Washington D.C.: Island Press, 2013.
The human influence: Moral responsibility for novel ecosystems
A. Thompson and Jackson, S. T., “The human influence: Moral responsibility for novel ecosystems”, in Designer Biology: The Ethics of Intensively Engineering Biological and Ecological Systems., Lexington Books, 2013, pp. 125–150.
The Impact of Recent Heat Waves on Human Health in California
K. Guirguis, Gershunov, A., Basu, R., and Tardy, A., “The Impact of Recent Heat Waves on Human Health in California”, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 2013.
Increases in Flood Magnitudes in California Under Warming Climates
T. Das, Maurer, E. P., Pierce, D. W., Dettinger, M. D., and Cayan, D. R., “Increases in Flood Magnitudes in California Under Warming Climates”, Journal of Hydrology, vol. 501, 2013.
The key role of heavy precipitation events in climate model disagreements of future annual precipitation changes in California
D. W. Pierce, Cayan, D. R., Das, T., Maurer, E. P., Miller, N. L., Bao, Y., Kanamitsu, M., Yoshimura, K., Snyder, M. A., and Sloan, L. C., “The key role of heavy precipitation events in climate model disagreements of future annual precipitation changes in California”, Journal of Climate, vol. 26, pp. 5879-5896, 2013.
The landfall and inland penetration of a flood-producing atmospheric river in Arizona. Part I: Observed synoptic-scale, orographic, and hydrometeorological characteristics
P. J. Neiman, F Ralph, M., Moore, B. J., Hughes, M., Mahoney, K. M., Cordeira, J. M., and Dettinger, M. D., “The landfall and inland penetration of a flood-producing atmospheric river in Arizona. Part I: Observed synoptic-scale, orographic, and hydrometeorological characteristics”, Journal of Hydrometeorology, vol. 14, pp. 460-484, 2013.
The Missing Piece: Drought Impacts Monitoring
K. Lackstrom, Brennan, A., Ferguson, D., Crimmins, M., Darby, L., Dow, K., Ingram, K., Meadow, A., Reges, H., Shafer, M., and Smith, K., “The Missing Piece: Drought Impacts Monitoring”. 2013.
Modeling plant species distributions under future climates: How fine scale do climate projections need to be?
J. Franklin, Davis, F. W., Ikegami, M., Syphard, A. D., Flint, L. E., Flint, A. L., and Hannah, L., “Modeling plant species distributions under future climates: How fine scale do climate projections need to be?”, Global Change Biology, vol. 19, pp. 473-483, 2013.
Monitoring and understanding changes in heat waves, cold waves, floods, and droughts in the United States
T. C. Peterson, Jr, R. R. Heim, Hirsch, R., Kaiser, D. P., Brooks, H., Diffenbaugh, N. S., Dole, R. M., Giovannettone, J. P., Guirguis, K., Karl, T. R., Katz, R. W., Kunkel, K. E., Lettenmaier, D., McCabe, G. J., Paciorek, C. J., Ryberg, K. R., Schubert, S., Silva, V. B. S., Stewart, B. C., Vecchia, A. V., Villarini, G., Vose, R. S., Walsh, J., Wehner, M., Wolock, D., Wolter, K., Woodhouse, C. A., and Wuebbles, D., “Monitoring and understanding changes in heat waves, cold waves, floods, and droughts in the United States”, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, vol. June, 2013.
Natural climate variability and teleconnections to precipitation over the Pacific-North American region in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models
S. D. Polade, Gershunov, A., Cayan, D. R., Dettinger, M. D., and Pierce, D. W., “Natural climate variability and teleconnections to precipitation over the Pacific-North American region in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models”, Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 40, 2013.
Natural Ecosystems
E. Fleishman, Belnap, J., Cobb, N., Enquist, C. A. F., Ford, K., MacDonald, G., Pellant, M., Schoennagel, T., Schmit, L. M., Schwartz, M. W., van Drunick, S., Westerling, A. T., Keyser, A., and Lucas, R., “Natural Ecosystems”, in Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, Washington D.C.: Island Press, 2013.
Natural, potential and actual vegetation in North America
S. T. Jackson, “Natural, potential and actual vegetation in North America”, Journal of Vegetation Science, vol. 24, 2013.
Perspective: Ecological novelty is not new
S. T. Jackson, “Perspective: Ecological novelty is not new”, Novel Ecosystems: Intervening in the New Ecological World Order, pp. 61-65, 2013.
Potential effects of warming climate on visitor use in three Alaskan national parks
C. M. Albano, Angelo, C. L., Strauch, R. L., and Thurman, L. L., “Potential effects of warming climate on visitor use in three Alaskan national parks”, Park Science, vol. 30, 2013.
Present, future, and novel bioclimates of the San Francisco, California region
A. Torregrosa, Taylor, M. D., Flint, L. E., and Flint, A. L., “Present, future, and novel bioclimates of the San Francisco, California region”, PLoS ONE, vol. 8, p. e58450, 2013.
Present Weather and Climate: Average Conditions
W. J. Steenburgh, Redmond, K. T., Kunkel, K. E., Doesken, N., Gillies, R. R., Horel, J. D., Hoerling, M. P., and Painter, T. H., “Present Weather and Climate: Average Conditions”, in Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, Washington D.C.: Island Press, 2013.
Present Weather and Climate: Evolving Conditions
M. P. Hoerling, Dettinger, M. D., Wolter, K., Lukas, J., Eischeid, J., Nemani, R., Leibmann, B., and Kunkel, K. E., “Present Weather and Climate: Evolving Conditions”, in Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, Washington, D.C.: Island Press, 2013.
Probabilistic estimates of future changes in California temperature and precipitation using statistical and dynamical downscaling
D. W. Pierce, Das, T., Cayan, D. R., Maurer, E. P., Miller, N. L., Bao, Y., Kanamitsu, M., Yoshimura, K., Snyder, M. A., Sloan, L. C., Franco, G., and Tyree, M., “Probabilistic estimates of future changes in California temperature and precipitation using statistical and dynamical downscaling”, Climate Dynamics, vol. 40, 2013.
Projections and downscaling for 21st century temperatures, precipitation, radiative fluxes and winds for the Southwestern US, with focus on Lake Tahoe
M. D. Dettinger, “Projections and downscaling for 21st century temperatures, precipitation, radiative fluxes and winds for the Southwestern US, with focus on Lake Tahoe”, Climatic Change, vol. 116, 2013.
Space can substitute for time in predicting climate-change effects on biodiversity
J. L. Blois, Williams, J. W., Fitzpatrick, M. C., Jackson, S. T., and Ferrier, S., “Space can substitute for time in predicting climate-change effects on biodiversity”, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 110, 2013.
Summary for Decision Makers
J. Overpeck, Garfin, G., Jardine, A., Busch, D. E., Cayan, D. R., Dettinger, M. D., Fleishman, E., Gershunov, A., MacDonald, G., Redmond, K. T., Travis, W. R., and Udall, B., “Summary for Decision Makers”, in Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, Washington D.C.: Island Press, 2013.
A twenty-first-century California observing network for monitoring extreme weather events
A. B. White, Anderson, M. L., Dettinger, M. D., Ralph, F. M., Hinojosa, A., Cayan, D. R., Hartman, R. K., Reynolds, D. W., Johnson, L. E., and Schneider, T. L., “A twenty-first-century California observing network for monitoring extreme weather events”, Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, vol. 30, pp. 1585-1603, 2013.
The Uneven Response of Different Snow Meaures to Human-Induced Climate Warming
D. W. Pierce and Cayan, D. R., “The Uneven Response of Different Snow Meaures to Human-Induced Climate Warming”, Journal of Climate, vol. 26, 2013.
Water: Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation
B. Udall, “Water: Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation”, in Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, Washington D.C.: Island Press, 2013.
Western U.S. Extreme Precipitation Events and Their Relation to ENSO and PDO in CCSM4
M. J. DeFlorio, Pierce, D. W., Cayan, D. R., and Miller, A. J., “Western U.S. Extreme Precipitation Events and Their Relation to ENSO and PDO in CCSM4”, Journal of Climate, vol. 26, 2013.
California heat waves in the present and future
A. Gershunov and Guirguis, K., “California heat waves in the present and future”, Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 39, 2012.
Climatic limits on foliar growth during major droughts in the southwestern USA
J. L. Weiss, Betancourt, J. L., and Overpeck, J. T., “Climatic limits on foliar growth during major droughts in the southwestern USA”, Journal of Geophysical Research, vol. 117, 2012.